Invest Dubai Off Plan

Off-Plan Pulse

Off-Plan Pulse Q3 2026

An independent quarterly read of Dubai's off-plan home market, with a luxury lens, built on Dubai Land Department open data.

Published 1 November 2026 - Data pulled 1 November 2026 - Source: Dubai Land Department open data, analysis by Invest Dubai Off-Plan

Invest Dubai Off-Plan research desk

AED 5M+ off-plan home sales fell 43% quarter on quarter.

740

off-plan home sales at AED 5M+ in Q3 2026, worth AED 8.26 billion

Down 43.34% from 1,306 in Q2 2026 (n = 740, 1 Jul to 30 Sep 2026)

Not a one-project effect: excluding the largest AED 5M+ project in each quarter still gives 665 (Q3) vs 1,011 (Q2).

Off-plan was 73.2% of Dubai home sales in Q3, down from 78.5% in Q2.

73.2%

of Dubai home sales were off-plan in Q3 2026

23,823 of 32,554 home sales, Q3 2026

By value: 69.94% (Q2 78.33%).

The typical off-plan home sold in Q3 was smaller and cheaper.

AED 1.10M

median off-plan home price, Q3 2026 (n = 23,823)

Medians move with the mix: 74.49% of Q3 off-plan home sales were studios and 1-bed units, so this is not a like-for-like price change.

The quarter in four charts

Chart 1

AED 5M+ off-plan home sales, Q1 to Q3 2026

1,812Q1 20261,306Q2 2026740Q3 2026-43.34% QoQ
AED 5M+ off-plan home sales by quarter
Q1 20261,812
Q2 20261,306
Q3 2026740
Source: Dubai Land Department open data, analysis by Invest Dubai Off-Plan

Chart 2

Off-plan share of Dubai home sales, by count

60%70%80%73.25%Q1 202678.50%Q2 202673.18%Q3 2026

Axis starts at 60%.

Off-plan share of Dubai home sales by count
Q1 202673.25%
Q2 202678.50%
Q3 202673.18%

By value: Q1 76.57%, Q2 78.33%, Q3 69.94%.

Source: Dubai Land Department open data, analysis by Invest Dubai Off-Plan

Chart 3

Unit mix, Q3 2026 off-plan home sales

  • Studio9,49939.87%
  • 1 BR8,24634.61%
  • 2 BR3,94716.57%
  • 3 BR1,1674.90%
  • 4+ BR9624.04%
Unit mix, Q3 2026 off-plan home sales
Studio9,499 (39.87%)
1 BR8,246 (34.61%)
2 BR3,947 (16.57%)
3 BR1,167 (4.90%)
4+ BR962 (4.04%)
Not stated2
Total23,823

Not stated: 2. Total 23,823.

Source: Dubai Land Department open data, analysis by Invest Dubai Off-Plan

Chart 4

Top areas by off-plan home sales, Q3 2026

  • Madinat Al Mataar4,816 (20.22%)
  • City of Arabia1,652
  • Jabal Ali Industrial Second1,263
  • Jumeirah Village Circle1,172
  • Dubai Land Residence Complex930
  • Majan882
  • Dubai Investment Park First736
  • Al Hebiah Fifth657
  • Down Town Jabal Ali602
  • Jabal Ali First595
Top areas by off-plan home sales, Q3 2026
Madinat Al Mataar4,816 (20.22%)
City of Arabia1,652
Jabal Ali Industrial Second1,263
Jumeirah Village Circle1,172
Dubai Land Residence Complex930
Majan882
Dubai Investment Park First736
Al Hebiah Fifth657
Down Town Jabal Ali602
Jabal Ali First595

DLD land-registry area names. Total off-plan home sales: 23,823.

Source: Dubai Land Department open data, analysis by Invest Dubai Off-Plan

Quarter comparison

MetricQ1 2026Q2 2026Q3 2026
Off-plan home sales (n)29,56826,09423,823
Off-plan home value (AED)70,829,349,67351,728,796,49839,210,293,666
Ready home sales (n)10,7997,1468,731
Off-plan share by count73.25%78.50%73.18%
Off-plan share by value76.57%78.33%69.94%
Median off-plan price (AED)1,650,0001,270,0001,100,000
Median off-plan AED/sq ft1,8311,7591,727
AED 5M+ off-plan sales (n)1,8121,306740
AED 5M+ off-plan value (AED)18,980,533,51214,270,320,7228,257,526,733
AED 10M+ off-plan sales (n)405371219
Median AED 5M+ price (AED)6,500,0006,780,7507,109,636

Source: Dubai Land Department open data, analysis by Invest Dubai Off-Plan

Where the AED 5M+ off-plan deals were, Q3 2026

Area (DLD name)AED 5M+ sales (n)Value (AED)Median price (AED)Median AED/sq ft
Madinat Al Mataar87522,769,0006,250,0001,454
Palm Jabal Ali75607,372,0007,657,0003,833
Palm Jumeirah481,017,119,84811,335,5005,671
Saih Shuaib 144361,968,2687,085,7282,848
Burj Khalifa43539,805,05910,272,3604,627
Business Bay41752,785,38915,800,0003,967
Palm Deira38283,470,6526,800,9143,653
Marsa Dubai33416,106,67812,020,2224,675

Area names are Dubai Land Department land-registry areas, not marketing community names.

AED 5M+ band by bedrooms, Q3 2026

4+ BR312
3 BR275
2 BR149
1 BR4

AED 5M+ band by property type, Q3 2026

Flats495
Villas245

Source: Dubai Land Department open data, analysis by Invest Dubai Off-Plan

Off-plan vs ready flats, Q3 2026 median AED/sq ft

+27.69%

off-plan premium: 1,735 AED/sq ft (n = 22,470) vs 1,359 AED/sq ft ready (n = 7,832)

Areas with 50+ sales on both sides

  • Jumeirah Village Circle +29.3% (1,552 vs 1,200; n = 1,172 / 1,203)
  • Business Bay +38.0% (2,431 vs 1,761; n = 353 / 584)

The gap mixes age, specification and location within an area. It is a gap, not a price for newness alone.

Source: Dubai Land Department open data, analysis by Invest Dubai Off-Plan

For press

  • AED 5M+ off-plan home sales fell 43% quarter on quarter.
  • Off-plan was 73.2% of Dubai home sales in Q3, down from 78.5% in Q2.
  • The typical off-plan home sold in Q3 was smaller and cheaper.

Contact: sales@investdubaioffplan.com, subject "Press - Off-Plan Pulse".

Methodology, in short

We aggregate the Dubai Land Department open-data transactions feed ourselves: Sales group only, homes means flats and villas, off-plan vs ready uses the DLD flag, and we publish medians and totals with the transaction count shown. Figures are as of the pull date and do not change after publication.

Read the full methodology

Corrections: No corrections to this edition.

Frequently asked questions

Questions about a specific project? sales@investdubaioffplan.com

Independent analysis of public DLD data. Not financial advice. Invest Dubai Off-Plan is not a broker, developer or government body, and this report is not endorsed by Dubai Land Department. Verify figures with DLD before relying on them.